Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.542922 0.711674 0.904025 1.136486 1.406825 1.708460 2.067585
2025-04-27 0.319075 0.524452 0.792205 1.152819 1.612104 2.164682 2.866697
2025-05-04 0.171958 0.369809 0.668764 1.116579 1.735433 2.528418 3.588773
2025-05-11 0.086349 0.258020 0.563696 1.072385 1.829565 2.853482 4.280959
2025-05-18 0.045005 0.194231 0.507314 1.079495 1.985013 3.262257 5.099759
2025-05-25 0.018972 0.136595 0.437402 1.045224 2.067858 3.569456 5.793316
2025-06-01 0.009811 0.114315 0.427345 1.107054 2.298802 4.094973 6.804366
2025-06-08 0.003429 0.086284 0.391042 1.111164 2.433149 4.482504 7.634366
2025-06-15 0.001524 0.076901 0.397321 1.196899 2.706914 5.087633 8.791276
2025-06-22 0.000405 0.064399 0.388546 1.248800 2.924205 5.613635 9.848173
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.050944 0.368902 1.272562 3.091349 6.066334 10.808916
2025-07-06 NaN 0.035322 0.329472 1.242741 3.156778 6.358966 11.539081
2025-07-13 NaN 0.026207 0.308915 1.255317 3.305050 6.796057 12.508329
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019136 0.290318 1.268683 3.455001 7.241159 13.501943
2025-07-27 NaN 0.011367 0.254585 1.227890 3.494622 7.505187 14.226393
2025-08-03 NaN 0.005973 0.219974 1.179657 3.512706 7.731187 14.895691
2025-08-10 NaN 0.003674 0.205335 1.186696 3.643622 8.151087 15.874091
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001582 0.179422 1.149842 3.677099 8.402853 16.592897
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001236 0.183529 1.215650 3.936915 9.055365 17.956910
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000566 0.171149 1.219953 4.060570 9.471493 18.952148
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000525 0.181764 1.311233 4.383605 10.247798 20.534817
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000340 0.182821 1.366430 4.627233 10.887827 21.908129
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000144 0.176480 1.391683 4.803533 11.411315 23.101802